Ep53 – Stats and you!

Rohan is joined by James, Hannah and Nonie to discuss how a little Stats is a powerful thing. This isn’t just a boring exploration of stats-y things, but hopefully a way in which a few key statistical tools can help us make better every-day decisions.

How are we supposed to make sense of claim like ‘Red Wine is good for you’, especially if there is conflicting reports.

What is the first question we should ask when we’re trying to decide if it’s safe to go swimming, or even if I should get into an elevator?

How should you make sense of a medical diagnosis (hint: a positive result doesn’t necessarily mean you have the condition). How accurate are pregnancy tests? (hint: not as high as you think).

…and why Gender Differences are kind of rubbish! Men and Women as groups might be different, but that doesn’t inform how we should think about individuals.

And finally – what is significance? What does it actually mean to say ‘there is a significant difference’?

 

Media:

 

This is Ben Goldacre. Always worth paying attention to

 

Breast Cancer: http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-families/health-news/breast-cancer-screening-blamed-for-false-alarms-1740214.html

DIY Data: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/oct/28/bad-science-diy-data-analysis

 

References:
ResearchBlogging.org

Cole, L. (2011). The utility of six over-the-counter (home) pregnancy tests Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine, 49 (8) DOI: 10.1515/CCLM.2011.211

Ep52 – Law and Order (part 2)

Rohan is joined by regulars Nerisa and Hannah, and old-timey member, Matthew Thompson, to discuss the psychology of law and order. By way of guiding the conversation we follow a series of hypothetical crimes – a string of deliberately set fires – from the incident through to the jury pronouncing guilt (or innocence).  Dr. Blake McKimmie Senior Lecturer at the University of Queensland’s School of Psychology, joins us to discuss the nature of Jury Decision Making (in part 2).

Part 2 examines the interview and interrogation. What the difference is, and how each is approach by law enforcement. Are police any better at detecting deception than a layperson? Usually not, but they certainly believe their more confident! What kind of outcomes does this deliver, and how wary should we be of any given confession?

Part 2 is joined by Dr. Blake McKimmie, Senior Lecturer at the University of Queensland’s School of Psychology. He offers his opinion as a scientist and active investigator of the nature of jury judgement and the decision making process.

Part 1 looks at the science and the claims of offender profiling. What is done, and how valid is it. It’s certainly true that we look for commonalities between complex events, but how useful is this knowledge in making useful (and valid) prediction about the future, about the offender, or about an offender’s motivation or personal qualities?

Part 1 also looks at forensic evidence. Fingerprints – contrary to popular belief – are not processed by a machine, but by a human. And humans, in many ways, are fallible. How reliable are the processes that collect prints, the people who analyze them, and the conclusions we make based on them?

Part 1 also includes a discussion on eye-witness evidence, the weakness of human memory, and the best (recommended) practices of how to conduct a police line-up.

 

Media:

The Synchrotron and Fingerprints – http://www.nature.com/news/2010/100317/full/464344a.html

 

A Radex. Canter (2011)

Cantor (2011) - Radex Model of Serial Killers' Actions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Professor David Canter – Profiler - http://www.davidcanter.com/

Professor Elizabeth Loftus - http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1236565/

 

References:
ResearchBlogging.org Snook, B., Cullen, R., Bennell, C., Taylor, P., & Gendreau, P. (2008). The Criminal Profiling Illusion: What’s Behind the Smoke and Mirrors? Criminal Justice and Behavior, 35 (10), 1257-1276 DOI: 10.1177/0093854808321528

Canter, D. (2011). Resolving the Offender “Profiling Equations” and the Emergence of an Investigative Psychology Current Directions in Psychological Science, 20 (1), 5-10 DOI: 10.1177/0963721410396825

Taylor, P., Donald, I., Jacques, K., & Conchie, S. (2012). Jaccard’s heel: Radex models of criminal behaviour are rarely falsifiable when derived using Jaccard coefficient Legal and Criminological Psychology, 17 (1), 41-58 DOI: 10.1348/135532510X518371

Bosco D, Zappalà A, & Santtila P (2010). The admissibility of offender profiling in courtroom: a review of legal issues and court opinions. International journal of law and psychiatry, 33 (3), 184-91 PMID: 20416950

Brewer, N., & Palmer, M. (2010). Eyewitness identification tests Legal and Criminological Psychology, 15 (1), 77-96 DOI: 10.1348/135532509X414765

Kassin, S., Appleby, S., & Perillo, J. (2010). Interviewing suspects: Practice, science, and future directions Legal and Criminological Psychology, 15 (1), 39-55 DOI: 10.1348/135532509X449361

Kassin SM, Leo RA, Meissner CA, Richman KD, Colwell LH, Leach AM, & La Fon D (2007). Police interviewing and interrogation: a self-report survey of police practices and beliefs. Law and human behavior, 31 (4), 381-400 PMID: 17253153

Meijer, E., & Verschuere, B. (2010). The Polygraph and the Detection of Deception Journal of Forensic Psychology Practice, 10 (4), 325-338 DOI: 10.1080/15228932.2010.481237

Mann S, Vrij A, & Bull R (2004). Detecting true lies: police officers’ ability to detect suspects’ lies. The Journal of applied psychology, 89 (1), 137-49 PMID: 14769126

Matthew B. Thompson, Jason M. Tangen, Duncan J. McCarthy (2012). Expertise in Fingerprint Identification Journal of Forensic Science

Tangen, J., Thompson, M., & McCarthy, D. (2011). Identifying Fingerprint Expertise Psychological Science, 22 (8), 995-997 DOI: 10.1177/0956797611414729

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Ep51- Law and Order (part 1)

Rohan is joined by regulars Nerisa and Hannah, and old-timey member, Matthew Thompson, to discuss the psychology of law and order. By way of guiding the conversation we follow a series of hypothetical crimes – a string of deliberately set fires – from the incident through to the jury pronouncing guilt (or innocence).  Dr. Blake McKimmie Senior Lecturer at the University of Queensland’s School of Psychology, joins us to discuss the nature of Jury Decision Making (in part 2).

Part 1 looks at the science and the claims of offender profiling. What is done, and how valid is it. It’s certainly true that we look for commonalities between complex events, but how useful is this knowledge in making useful (and valid) prediction about the future, about the offender, or about an offender’s motivation or personal qualities?

Part 1 also looks at forensic evidence. Fingerprints – contrary to popular belief – are not processed by a machine, but by a human. And humans, in many ways, are fallible. How reliable are the processes that collect prints, the people who analyze them, and the conclusions we make based on them?

Part 1 also includes a discussion on eye-witness evidence, the weakness of human memory, and the best (recommended) practices of how to conduct a police line-up.

 

Part 2 examines the interview and interrogation. What the difference is, and how each is approach by law enforcement. Are police any better at detecting deception than a layperson? Usually not, but they certainly believe their more confident! What kind of outcomes does this deliver, and how wary should we be of any given confession?

Part 2 is joined by Dr. Blake McKimmie, Senior Lecturer at the University of Queensland’s School of Psychology. He offers his opinion as a scientist and active investigator of the nature of jury judgement and the decision making process.

 

Media:

The Synchrotron and Fingerprints – http://www.nature.com/news/2010/100317/full/464344a.html

 

A Radex. Canter (2011)

Cantor (2011) - Radex Model of Serial Killers' Actions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Professor David Canter – Profiler - http://www.davidcanter.com/

Professor Elizabeth Loftus - http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1236565/

 

References:
ResearchBlogging.org Snook, B., Cullen, R., Bennell, C., Taylor, P., & Gendreau, P. (2008). The Criminal Profiling Illusion: What’s Behind the Smoke and Mirrors? Criminal Justice and Behavior, 35 (10), 1257-1276 DOI: 10.1177/0093854808321528

Canter, D. (2011). Resolving the Offender “Profiling Equations” and the Emergence of an Investigative Psychology Current Directions in Psychological Science, 20 (1), 5-10 DOI: 10.1177/0963721410396825

Taylor, P., Donald, I., Jacques, K., & Conchie, S. (2012). Jaccard’s heel: Radex models of criminal behaviour are rarely falsifiable when derived using Jaccard coefficient Legal and Criminological Psychology, 17 (1), 41-58 DOI: 10.1348/135532510X518371

Bosco D, Zappalà A, & Santtila P (2010). The admissibility of offender profiling in courtroom: a review of legal issues and court opinions. International journal of law and psychiatry, 33 (3), 184-91 PMID: 20416950

Brewer, N., & Palmer, M. (2010). Eyewitness identification tests Legal and Criminological Psychology, 15 (1), 77-96 DOI: 10.1348/135532509X414765

Kassin, S., Appleby, S., & Perillo, J. (2010). Interviewing suspects: Practice, science, and future directions Legal and Criminological Psychology, 15 (1), 39-55 DOI: 10.1348/135532509X449361

Kassin SM, Leo RA, Meissner CA, Richman KD, Colwell LH, Leach AM, & La Fon D (2007). Police interviewing and interrogation: a self-report survey of police practices and beliefs. Law and human behavior, 31 (4), 381-400 PMID: 17253153

Meijer, E., & Verschuere, B. (2010). The Polygraph and the Detection of Deception Journal of Forensic Psychology Practice, 10 (4), 325-338 DOI: 10.1080/15228932.2010.481237

Mann S, Vrij A, & Bull R (2004). Detecting true lies: police officers’ ability to detect suspects’ lies. The Journal of applied psychology, 89 (1), 137-49 PMID: 14769126

Matthew B. Thompson, Jason M. Tangen, Duncan J. McCarthy (2012). Expertise in Fingerprint Identification Journal of Forensic Science

Tangen, J., Thompson, M., & McCarthy, D. (2011). Identifying Fingerprint Expertise Psychological Science, 22 (8), 995-997 DOI: 10.1177/0956797611414729

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Ep50 – Skinbags, or, Do Cyborgs Dream of Robotic Hands?

Welcome to our 50th episode!!

Kate, Zan and Rohan are joined by Dr. Ruth Schulz (who joined us on ‘Ep14 – AI and the Spatial Universe‘) to talk about the history, present and future of Human Augmentation.

We start as far back as 160, 000 years ago, and tour through language, and spectacles, to the telephone, google, robotic arms, neural implants and end up at the singularity.

What is the different between artificially remedying someone’s deficit and augmenting our ‘natural’ abilities (what is ‘natural’ anyway?). We consider what it’s like to experience the word cross modally – Neil Harbisson (who sees the world only in grey-scale) listens to colour! (video below)

How many robotics limbs (or tentacles) can I load onto my body and into my brain? Can I develop a sense for electrical and magnetic fields? Will I ever be able to upload my brain and download someone else’s?

Ultimately we discuss the cognitive consequences of these actions, how modifying ourselves leads to differences in the way we think, feel and solve problems.

 

[Click here to listen to the show in a new window]

 Media and references below

(more…)

Slight Delay

There’s going to be a delay on the show this week. We are currently in the process of porting our website and data hosting on to new servers.

This is a great thing! After our recent drive to solicit donations and support from various sources, the School of Psychology at The University of Queensland has generously decided to support the show. They have made a considerable donation of both money and infrastructure – including (but not limited to) hosting services!

So, while the show is late – it is for good reasons!

Our gratitude goes out The University of Queensland and – more specifically – The School of Psychology.

You can find their website here: http://www.psy.uq.edu.au/  … or on Facebook (recommended).

 

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